Worth of Mineral Reserves in Afghanistan May Top One Trillion Dollars

Via the Voice of America:

A leading U.S. newspaper reports U.S. geologists have discovered nearly one trillion dollars’ worth of untapped mineral deposits in Afghanistan.

The New York Times says U.S. officials believe the vast veins of iron, copper, cobalt, gold, lithium, and niobium could “fundamentally alter” the Afghan economy and perhaps the Afghan war. U.S. officials told the newspaper Afghanistan could eventually be transformed into one of the “most important mining centers in the world.”

Lithium is a key raw material in the manufacture of batteries for cell phones and laptops. Niobium is a soft metal used in producing superconducting steel.

This will be hugely beneficial for someone (someday – when the infrastructure to exploit these resources exists) but I’d bet that Afghanistan is more likely to go the way of Africa where immense resources and poverty tend to run on parallel tracks. One thing is certain though – we aren’t leaving any time soon.

Update:
Similar thoughts at Outside the Beltway:

So, instead of bringing the country together and leading to an era of prosperity unlike anything Afghanistan has ever seen in it’s history, this discovery could serve to tear the country apart even further as factions fight over the wealth buried underneath them. Even if that doesn’t happen, however, the history of natural resources exploitation in the third world does not bode well for the Afghan people.

Melissa Clouthier posts her thoughts over at Right Wing News:

Well, unless America is willing to go colonial and impose civilization on these folks, it will mean more infighting and civil war.

Finally, head over to Naked Capitalism for the most pessimistic take on the whole matter.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates to Announce Obama’s Defense Spending Cuts

The thinking here is obviously that life will be a bit easier in the White House if it looks like the defense sector is sort of voluntarily eliminating itself:

On defense, the administration’s list suggests it will target expensive weapons systems but does not specify which programs will be cut or how much money will be saved. White House officials said they are letting Defense Secretary Robert Gates take the lead on specific announcements Thursday.

The list did contend the Pentagon’s new weapons programs are “among the largest, most expensive, and technically difficult that the Department has ever tried to develop. Consequently, they carry a high risk of performance failure, cost increases and schedule delays.”

I wouldn’t challenge that last point, the system could use a massive overhaul, but it appears that the Obama administration may well move far beyond belt-tightening and into territory that has vast strategic significance:

A list of candidates for possible cutbacks drawn up by the Pentagon includes more Navy destroyers built by General Dynamics, fighter jets including Lockheed Martin and Boeing’s F-22 Raptors and carrier-based Super Hornets, a digital radio system for all the armed services and missile defense weaponry for Poland and the Czech Republic.

Gates has already singled out the F-22 Raptor fighters, which cost about 350 million dollars each, for potential cutbacks.

One potential bright spot in all of this is the potential that some of these funds will be redirected to increase both the number of uniformed personnel and their benefits:

The budget will also contain money to reduce the strain on the military – particularly the Army and Marine Corps. The budget calls for more soldiers and Marines. “And to keep our sacred trust with those who serve, we will raise their pay, and give our veterans the expanded health care and benefits that they have earned,” he said. When the dust settles will we be looking at a military whose role has been redefined by it’s limited capabilities?