Monthly Archives: October 2011

A Challenging Road Ahead in Libya

There’s a rather interesting piece in Vice about reporter Sherif Elhelwa’s run in with with al-Qaeda types in Benghazi:

Earlier this week, I went to the Benghazi courthouse and confirmed the rumors: an al Qaeda flag was clearly visible; its Arabic script declaring that “there is no God but Allah” and a full moon underneath. When I tried to take pictures, a Salafi-looking guard, wearing a green camouflage outfit, rushed towards me and demanded to know what I was doing. My response was straightforward: I was taking a picture of the flag. He gave me an intimidating look and hissed, “Whomever speaks ill of this flag, we will cut off his tongue. I recommend that you don’t publish these. You will bring trouble to yourself.”

My hope is that we’re in a bit of a pause as security assistance and aid arrangements are sorted out. Eventually, hopefully quite soon, the NTC will have to push back with more authority against radical elements. It might be tempting for them to delay this while they consolidate power but that delay would deliver the same benefit to the enemy. Watch for serious NTC movement here before the end of the year and pay close attention to the response. If that movement does not occur or if militias are still running wild in Libya’s urban areas months from now the opportunity for stablization may slip away.

Recommended on Twitter: @Africom. U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM), is one of nine Unified Combatant Commands of the U.S. Department of Defense.

This Week’s Recommended Twitter Accounts

Recommended in Covert Contact this week:

@TexasinAfrica: Laura Seay is a Morehouse College political scientist who studies community & NGO responses to state failure & conflict in central Africa.

@DaveedGR: Author of Bin Laden’s Legacy, the self-proclaimed Ice Cube of counterterrorism polemics.

@RepMikeRogers: Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee.

@NATO: Official Twitter account of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

@drunkenpredator: Drunk Predator Drone is an insider’s humorus take on drone operations and policy.

@switch_d: Identity unknown but insightful on infosec and national security issues.

@McKenzieCNN: David McKenzie is a CNN Correspondent in Africa.

@fravel: M. Taylor Fravel is an International relations professor at MIT, studying China’s foreign and security policies.

@NTC_of_Libya: The National Transitional Council in Libya.

@panphil: Philip Pan is author of the book, Out of Mao’s Shadow: The Struggle for the Soul of a New China. Formerly Washington Post bureau chief in Beijing and Moscow.

@AlexanderPageSY: Run by Syrian activist Rami Jarrah who is now based in Cairo.

@AndersFoghR: Anders Fogh Rasmussen is the Secretary General of NATO.

@Slowfalling: An aid worker in the Horn of Africa.

Mevlid Jasarevic’s Attack on the U.S. Embassy in Bosnia

One individual with an AK and some ammo can hurt a heck of a lot of people in a city center but it appears that only one embassy security guard was wounded in the attack. Apparently, Melvid wandered around rather aimlessly with his AK before police snipers wounded him and took him into custody.

A rather lame, and completely suicidal, attempt don’t you think? Suicide by cop comes to mind. I think little a little digging will reveal that Melvid has issues. That boy is just not right.

In short, not a big deal unless new developments occur.

Need to Know: October 28, 2011

Libya: Out With the Old Mission – In With the New

The mission officially ends for NATO on October 31. The war has been won, total victory can be claimed by the Alliance, mission accomplished, we’re done here. Only, we’re not. The alliance will certainly claim mission success but the hard work has only just begun. Key members of the alliance have no intention of leaving Libya anytime soon.

According to Reuters a NATO official has said that countries may continue to provide assistance to Libya “outside the NATO command and control structure”. They are reportedly even considering creating “a new alliance headed by Qatar to support Libya after NATO ends its mission”. There is even the potential for continued official NATO involvement though its “Mediterranean dialogue program”. So, the bottom line here is security assistance to Libya isn’t going away anytime soon. In fact, it will morph and expand. It has to.

Recommended on Twitter: @NATO. Official Twitter account of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.