Election Predictions: Processing the Results

by John Little in Politics

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I’ll be speeding West across Texas. I’m going to climb a mountain, in the middle of nowhere, so I may not know the results for few days. The rest of you can deal with the fallout for a week. I can’t say I’m expecting good news when I return but I’m not into making predictions.

However, some are finding borderline far-fetched scenarios in which McCain could win:

The latest FOX News/Rasmussen Reports battleground poll presents a plausible scenario for a narrow John McCain victory. While most pundits have written McCain’s political obituary, he is extremely competitive in Florida (McCain leads 50 percent to 49 percent), North Carolina (McCain leads 50 percent to 49 percent), Missouri (tied at 49 percent) and Ohio (tied at 49 percent). Factor in Monday’s Mason-Dixon Virginia numbers (Obama leads 47 percent to 44 percent) and this election is far from over.

The other wild card is the upset brewing in Pennsylvania. The McCain campaign actually thinks it will win that state, giving them a lifesaving electoral firewall.

I’ve always though McCain had a slim chance – one that polls wouldn’t catch and would materialize only on this day. Still, I think Rob Long said it best:

To be succinct, I would say this about the election: Build an ark.

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