It’s the economy, stupid:
In a state suffering from the highest unemployment rate in the nation, voters turned to the businessman-turned-politician who pledged to help turn their economy around.
Not surprisingly, the economy was by far the most important issue to Michigan voters. For Romney’s chief competitor in the Michigan primary, John McCain, that was bad news. Only three in 10 voters who cited economic concerns as their top priority gave their votes to McCain; almost four in 10 went for Romney.
Mitt now clearly leads the delegate race:
I’d still call this a four-way race, at least until Super Tuesday. Sadly, Thompson isn’t connecting outside of the conservative base. Ron Paul’s tinfoil hat brigade is great at gaming online polls but polls do not award delegates. The delegate count also looks pretty bad for Giuliani but his Super Tuesday strategy could still transform the race. It’s not looking like a particularly great move however:
His best bet was to hope the early going failed to reveal any front-runner and that he could gallop up the middle between the other contenders.
It could still happen, but he’s dropped a long way already. Some polls put him well ahead of all other Republicans in nationwide polling last year. A Sunday poll released by Washington Post-ABC News had him in fourth place with just 15 per cent national support, behind John McCain’s 28 per cent, Mike Huckabee’s 20 per cent and behind Mitt Romney’s 19 per cent.
The news isn’t a lot better in Florida. A Quinnipiac poll released on the weekend shows McCain has the lead with 22 per cent, with Giuliani and Romney at 20 per cent and Huckabee at 19 per cent. He’s still in the hunt, but he’s headed in the wrong direction. A poll taken Dec. 20 had Giuliani at 27 per cent and McCain at just 15 per cent.
Said one New York Democrat: “Either Rudy is a genius and is about to deny half a century of conventional political wisdom, or he has run the most stupid presidential campaign in history.”
Rudy still has faith:
“It’s clear after tonight that while the race remains fluid and competitive, our strategy remains on track,” Tony Carbonetti, a senior adviser to Mr. Giuiani, said in a statement.