Video: The Hurricane Hunters Fly Into Felix

by John Little in Videos, Weather

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hhfelix Video: The Hurricane Hunters Fly Into Felix

Air Show Buzz has the video. Flying into a storm this powerful isn’t for the faint of heart. One of the missions even had to be aborted:

NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft N42RF experienced a truly awesome and terrifying mission into the heart of Hurricane Felix last night. Flying at 10,000 feet through Felix at 7pm EDT, N42RF dropped a sonde into the southeast eyewall. The swirling winds of the storm were so powerful that the sonde spun a full 3/4 circle around the eye before splashing into the northwest eyewall. It is VERY rare for a sonde to make nearly a complete circle around the eye like this. As the plane entered the eye of the now Category 5 hurricane, they found a 17-mile wide stadium lit up by intense lightning on all sides. The pressure at the bottom of the eye had hit 934 mb, and the temperature outside, a balmy 77 degrees at 10,000 feet. This is about 24 degrees warmer than the atmosphere normally is at that altitude, and a phenomenally warm eye for a hurricane. N42RF then punched into the northwest eyewall. Flight level winds hit 175 mph, and small hail lashed the airplane as lighting continued to flash. Then, the crew hit what Hurricane Hunters fear most–a powerful updraft followed a few seconds later by an equally powerful downdraft. The resulting extreme turbulence and wind shear likely made the aircraft impossible to control. Four G’s of acceleration battered the airplane, pushing the aircraft close to its design limit of 6 G’s. Although no one was injured and no obvious damage to the airplane occurred, the aircraft commander wisely aborted the mission and N42RF returned safely to St. Croix. N42RF is the same aircraft that survived a pounding of 5.6 g’s in the eyewall of Hurricane Hugo in 1989. A special inspection of the aircraft is planned for today to determine if it is fit to fly further missions into Felix, and its scheduled afternoon flight into the hurricane was canceled. Hurricane Hunter missions since have fared better, and no more extreme turbulence has been reported.

Quick, pull the records on every Just for Men purchase in Pakistan over the past month. Osama has new video on the way and he’s reportedly looking pretty sharp:

Terror mastermind Osama bin Laden plans a new video addressing the American people regarding the anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks, terror monitoring groups said Thursday.

SITE Intelligence Group said an Internet announcement of the plan included a photo of the al-Qaida leader from the upcoming video—his beard, which in previous messages had been streaked with gray, was entirely dark.

Intelcenter, which is based in Alexandria, Va., and also monitors Islamic Web sites, said the video was expected within the next 72 hours, or by Sunday. That would come before the sixth anniversary next Tuesday of the World Trade Center attack. The last bin Laden video was in October 2004, shortly before the U.S. presidential elections.

The Blotter has more:

Federal law enforcement authorities say that another Web site had posted a message on Sept. 2, promising “a special gift to be delivered on the blessed day of the invasion of Manhattan.”

I hope it’s just a video. Hot Air has a still shot from the video. While Stratfor reminds us that:

We have no idea whether bin Laden is still alive and therefore no idea whether this tape will actually appear. It would appear to us that bin Laden, in order to maintain his credibility, would have wanted to appear more recently and frequently than he has. It is possible that security considerations have caused him to avoid videos or more frequent audios, or it might have been useful to maintain his mystique. It also is possible that he is dead.

The video is gross but very cool. I’m just getting over a bug, and I’m still a little queasy, so watching this wasn’t easy. Bear Grylls really earns his pay.

Another video, a more lengthy announcement, is available here. There’s more at Fred08.

Photos: Inside the Eye of Hurricane Felix

by John Little in Weather

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Randy Bynon flew into it last night:

Good morning folks! My flight got back on the ground safe and sound.We didn’t get quite the rough ride NOAA 43 had but we got bounced around enough.

Felix continued to intensify as we flew it. The pressure dropped from 936 mb on our first pass to 931 by our second pass and our sonde didn’t quite the center so the pressure was probably a bit lower than that. It’s tough to nail it when the eye is so small.

The eye was probably the best eye I have ever seen in a storm. Perfectly round, beautiful stadium effect. I didn’t think we’d see much in the dark but the moon was just over the top of the eyewall cloud and there was more lightning then I have ever seen in a hurricane. So I got some cool shots. I’ll post them!

My crew will fly it again tomorrow morning so if it remains this well developed I’ll get some really cool shots tomorrow in the daylight!

Click through to see some amazing photos.

Storms seem to be intensifying way faster than the models are predicting this year. Felix is already unbelievably dangerous:

reports from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Felix has intensified and is now a category five hurricane. The aircraft reported peak flight-level winds of 152 kt…with peak SFMR winds of 142 kt in the southwest quadrant. Higher SFMR winds were found in the northeast quadrant…up to 163 kt…but these may have been contaminated by groupel. A dropsonde released in the southwest quadrant landed in the northeast quadrant…and this drop yielded a surface estimate of 139 kt based on the lowest 150 M layer average. Based on these data…the peak surface winds are estimated to be at least 145 kt. An eye sonde measured a surface pressure of 936 mb with surface winds of 24 kt. Because of the extreme turbulence and groupel that the aircraft experienced…the mission is being aborted and the aircraft is returning to St. Croix.

I love storms but I wouldn’t want to be anywhere near 200mph gusts and 15-30 foot waves. It can still intensify too but a quick look at the NHC Wind Speed Probability Table reveals nothing but unknowns:

The database excludes unnamed tropical depressions. NA or TF indicates data not available. This may occur when the storm intensity is at a threshold where too few (<10) similar forecasts occurred during the sample period (1988-1997). Results would be unreliable and are therefore not shown.

We appear to be in Rumsfeld territory with this one.

Update:
There’s no time to waste in Belize. Thankfully, it looks like the government and citizens there seem to be on the ball:

Government is preparing for an emergency very seriously.

Police announced that all officers are to report to work tomorrow at 6 am – no excuses.
Advice to get out of harm’s way are coming over radio all evening.

I’ll evacuate tomorrow morning. Will try to maintain contact but can’t guarantee anything.

Several neighbors are staying in homes that are a few rows off the beach. The homes are strong, and if their nerves hold up these folks will probably manage to be ok.

Those of us from the cayes are concerned about what happens if we evacuate and can’t get back to the island – but one day at a time.

Phone lines out of country are busy a lot now – so we are already loosing communications.

Texans should keep an eye on Felix as well:

Felix is then expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula and head out over the Gulf of Mexico, according to NHC forecasts.

Any potential direct impact on the United States would come no sooner than Friday or Saturday along the Texas coast, said CNN meteorologist Jacqui Jeras.