It might take a while to get a clear look at conditions in Jamaica. There is widespread devastation and looting has been reported. I certainly wouldn’t want to be there:
We just heard gunshots but cannot see anything from here so are afraid to open the door, it is SO dark out there with hardly any lights anywhere. I have spoken to people in Negril now, Digicell is back up there now and DSL is also restored at Hedonism (mine is also back on here)!!! PM and Gov Gen have declared a state of emergency according to the radio, I guess we will just have to wait until tomorrow to see how bad things are??? Widespread looting is being reported and the curfew is being strictly enforced. No one I have spoken to has had bad damage except my helper’s yard in Waltham is pretty mashed up we heard?!?!?!I think I am going to get some sleep now that it is past us, I have been up for days now getting ready…
Looking ahead the news is not good:
Based on all of these data the current intensity is set at 130 kt. Dean is moving over waters of extremely high oceanic heat content with weak shear and exhibits a classic upper-tropospheric outflow pattern. Dean certainly has the potential to strengthen into a category five hurricane within the next 24 hours and this is reflected in the official forecast. Weakening will occur due to the transit over the Yucatan Peninsula and the official forecast roughly follows the inland decay SHIPS model. Dean is forecast to restrengthen over the Bay of Campeche…and the GFDL and hwrf guidance suggest that it could regain major hurricane status before making its final landfall.
Mexico is going to have a really tough time with this one.
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